Ratingskala

                       
 Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeiten p(D) aus Ratingdifferenzen D = 
 Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeiten des höher und niedriger Eingestuften 
                       
 Dp(D)p(-D)Dp(D)p(-D)Dp(D)p(-D)Dp(D)p(-D)Dp(D)p(-D)Dp(D)p(-D)Dp(D)p(-D) 
 0,500,50063,588,412126,672,328189,748,252252-253,814,186328,877,123439-440,940,060 
 1,501,49964,590,410127,673,327190,749,251254,815,185329-330,878,122441-443,941,059 
 2,503,49765,591,409128,675,325191,750,250255,816,184331,879,121444-445,942,058 
 3,504,49666,592,408129,676,324192,751,249256,817,183332-333,880,120446-448,943,057 
 4,506,49467,594,406130,677,323193,752,248257,818,182334,881,119449-450,944,056 
 5,507,49368,595,405131,678,322194,754,246258,819,181335,882,118451-453,945,055 
 6,508,49269,596,404132,680,320195,755,245259,820,180336-337,883,117454-455,946,054 
 7,510,49070,598,402133,681,319196,756,244260,821,179338,884,116456-458,947,053 
 8,511,48971,599,401134,682,318197,757,243261,822,178339-340,885,115459-461,948,052 
 9,513,48772,600,400135,683,317198,758,242262,823,177341,886,114462-463,949,051 
 10,514,48673,602,398136,685,315199,759,241263,824,176342-343,887,113464-466,950,050 
 11,516,48474,603,397137,686,314200,760,240264,825,175344,888,112467-469,951,049 
 12,517,48375,605,395138,687,313201,761,239265,826,174345-346,889,111470-472,952,048 
 13,518,48276,606,394139,688,312202,762,238266-267,827,173347,890,110473-475,953,047 
 14,520,48077,607,393140,690,310203,764,236268,828,172348-349,891,109476-478,954,046 
 15,521,47978,609,391141,691,309204,765,235269,829,171350,892,108479-481,955,045 
 16,523,47779,610,390142,692,308205,766,234270,830,170351-352,893,107482-484,956,044 
 17,524,47680,611,389143,693,307206,767,233271,831,169353,894,106485-487,957,043 
 18,525,47581,613,387144,695,305207,768,232272,832,168354-355,895,105488-490,958,042 
 19,527,47382,614,386145,696,304208,769,231273,833,167356,896,104491-493,959,041 
 20,528,47283,615,385146,697,303209,770,230274,834,166357-358,897,103494-496,960,040 
 21,530,47084,617,383147,698,302210,771,229275-276,835,165359-360,898,102497-500,961,039 
 22,531,46985,618,382148,700,300211,772,228277,836,164361,899,101501-503,962,038 
 23,532,46886,619,381149,701,299212,773,227278,837,163362-363,900,100504-507,963,037 
 24,534,46687,621,379150,702,298213,774,226279,838,162364,901,099508-510,964,036 
 25,535,46588,622,378151,703,297214,775,225280,839,161365-366,902,098511-514,965,035 
 26,537,46389,623,377152,705,295215,776,224281,840,160367-368,903,097515-518,966,034 
 27,538,46290,625,375153,706,294216,777,223282-283,841,159369,904,096519-521,967,033 
 28,539,46191,626,374154,707,293217,779,221284,842,158370-371,905,095522-525,968,032 
 29,541,45992,628,372155,708,292218,780,220285,843,157372-373,906,094526-529,969,031 
 30,542,45893,629,371156,709,291219,781,219286,844,156374,907,093530-534,970,030 
 31,544,45694,630,370157,711,289220,782,218287,845,155375-376,908,092535-538,971,029 
 32,545,45595,632,368158,712,288221,783,217288,846,154377-378,909,091539-542,972,028 
 33,546,45496,633,367159,713,287222,784,216289-290,847,153379-380,910,090543-547,973,027 
 34,548,45297,634,366160,714,286223,785,215291,848,152381,911,089548-551,974,026 
 35,549,45198,636,364161,715,285224,786,214292,849,151382-383,912,088552-556,975,025 
 36,551,44999,637,363162,717,283225,787,213293,850,150384-385,913,087557-561,976,024 
 37,552,448100,638,362163,718,282226,788,212294,851,149386-387,914,086562-567,977,023 
 38,553,447101,639,361164,719,281227,789,211295-296,852,148388-389,915,085568-572,978,022 
 39,555,445102,641,359165,720,280228,790,210297,853,147390,916,084573-577,979,021 
 40,556,444103,642,358166,721,279229,791,209298,854,146391-392,917,083578-583,980,020 
 41,558,442104,643,357167,723,277230,792,208299,855,145393-394,918,082584-589,981,019 
 42,559,441105,645,355168,724,276231,793,207300-301,856,144395-396,919,081590-596,982,018 
 43,560,440106,646,354169,725,275232,794,206302,857,143397-398,920,080597-603,983,017 
 44,562,438107,647,353170,726,274233,795,205303,858,142399-400,921,079604-610,984,016 
 45,563,437108,649,351171,727,273234,796,204304,859,141401-402,922,078611-617,985,015 
 46,565,435109,650,350172,728,272235,797,203305-306,860,140403-404,923,077618-625,986,014 
 47,566,434110,651,349173,730,270236,798,202307,861,139405-406,924,076626-633,987,013 
 48,567,433111,653,347174,731,269237,799,201308,862,138407-408,925,075634-643,988,012 
 49,569,431112,654,346175,732,268238,800,200309-310,863,137409-410,926,074644-652,989,011 
 50,570,430113,655,345176,733,267239,801,199311,864,136411-412,927,073653-663,990,010 
 51,572,428114,657,343177,734,266240,802,198312,865,135413-414,928,072664-675,991,009 
 52,573,427115,658,342178,735,265241,803,197313,866,134415-416,929,071676-687,992,008 
 53,574,426116,659,341179,737,263242,804,196314-315,867,133417-418,930,070688-702,993,007 
 54,576,424117,660,340180,738,262243,805,195316,868,132419-420,931,069703-719,994,006 
 55,577,423118,662,338181,739,261244,806,194317,869,131421-422,932,068720-738,995,005 
 56,578,422119,663,337182,740,260245,807,193318-319,870,130423-424,933,067739-762,996,004 
 57,580,420120,664,336183,741,259246,808,192320,871,129425-427,934,066763-793,997,003 
 58,581,419121,666,334184,742,258247,809,191321,872,128428-429,935,065794-839,998,002 
 59,583,417122,667,333185,743,257248,810,190322-323,873,127430-431,936,064840-930,999,001 
 60,584,416123,668,332186,745,255249,811,189324,874,126432-433,937,063ab 93110 
 61,585,415124,669,331187,746,254250,812,188325-326,875,125434-436,938,062    
 62,587,413125,671,329188,747,253251,813,187327,876,124437-438,939,061    
                       
                       
 z.B. D=200 ,760 ,240 bedeutet eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 76,0% für stärkeres, 24,0% für schwächeres Team 
   
  Im Excel-Format können die Werte mithilfe der Formel =RUNDEN(NORMVERT(D;0;200*WURZEL(2);1);3) reproduziert werden!  
                       
                       
  Sie erhalten dann die kumulierten Werte aus der allgemeinen Formel        
   
 
  
 
           
              
              
              
              
 

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